Why the Polls Understate Romney Vote
When the published poll shows Obama ahead by, say, 48-45, he’s really probably losing by 52-48! By Dick Morris – www.DickMorris.com Republicans are getting depressed under an avalanche of polling suggesting that an Obama victory is in the offing. They, in fact, suggest no such thing! Here’s why: All of the polling out there uses some variant of the 2008 election turnout as its model for weighting respondents and this overstates the Democratic vote by a huge margin. In English, this means that when you do a poll you ask people if they are likely to vote. But any...
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